Best picture Oscar predictions 2024

Best picture Oscar predictions 2024


The 94th Academy Awards are arriving February 2024, promising many cinephiles an exciting night of celebrities and entertainment. As we look ahead to the upcoming Oscars, speculation and predictions are already swirling around the 10 films vying for the most coveted prize: Best Picture.

Best picture is considered the grand finale of the Oscars ceremony. It honors the finest cinematic achievement of the year, as voted on by the Academy’s roughly 10,000 members. With critically acclaimed films like Steven Spielberg’s The Fabelmans and Damien Chazelle’s Babylon in contention, the competition is fierce.

Here are my predictions for the 10 Best Picture nominees at the 2024 Oscars:


The Fabelmans

  • Directed by Steven Spielberg
  • Autobiographical drama about Spielberg’s childhood
  • Early Oscar buzz and critical acclaim
  • Spielberg is a beloved, legendary director


  • Directed by Damien Chazelle
  • Lavish period piece about 1920s Hollywood
  • Reunites Chazelle with La La Land star Emma Stone
  • Chazelle is a prior Oscar winner for La La Land

She Said

  • Drama about the Harvey Weinstein scandal and Me Too movement
  • Timely, relevant subject matter
  • Critical acclaim for the cast

Major Contenders

The Son

  • Starring Hugh Jackman and Laura Dern
  • Family drama directed by Florian Zeller
  • Zeller previously won Best Adapted Screenplay for The Father

The Whale

  • Starring Brendan Fraser in a comeback performance
  • Directed by Darren Aronofsky
  • Fraser getting awards buzz for his transformative role


  • Starring Cate Blanchett as a renowned conductor
  • Directed by Todd Field
  • Blanchett’s performance is getting significant praise

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Potential Dark Horses

Thirteen Lives

  • Ron Howard drama about 2018 Thai cave rescue
  • Howard is an Oscar veteran
  • Uplifting true story could appeal to voters

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

  • Sequel to Rian Johnson’s 2019 hit Knives Out
  • Stars Daniel Craig, Edward Norton, Janelle Monáe
  • First Netflix film to compete for Best Picture?

Empire of Light

  • Starring Olivia Colman
  • Directed by Sam Mendes
  • Beautifully shot period piece celebrates cinema

Women Talking

  • Adaptation of Miriam Toews’ novel, directed by Sarah Polley
  • Timely feminist story
  • Strong reviews for the cast including Rooney Mara, Claire Foy

While these 10 films seem poised for Best Picture recognition, there could certainly be surprises. Other contenders include Top Gun: Maverick, Elvis, Avatar: The Way of Water, Martin McDonagh’s The Banshees of Inisherin, and more. We’ll have to wait until Oscar night 2024 to find out which picture takes home the gold!


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